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Bitcoin
2026-08-25 10:21:00

Whale trader says $58,000 marked the cycle low for BTC, points to Strategy as a key signal

BlockBeats reported on Aug. 25 that whale trader "Set 10 Big Goals First" published a long post explaining why he had identified the area around $58,000 as the bottom of this market cycle for Bitcoin. In his view, one of the most important signals at the time came from Strategy. He argued that in a bear market, the company would need to think beyond whether BTC would rise and instead focus on where the floor was, how close it stood to its financial breaking point, and whether its capital structure could withstand another sharp decline. He said Strategy’s move to adjust its BTC and dollar reserves and optimize its capital structure, breaking the market’s expectation that it would only buy and never sell, was a key clue. The trader added that this was his own inference rather than a public statement from Michael Saylor. He also said that after BTC fell to $58,000, even negative developments such as hardware wallet security issues failed to push the market below $60,000 for long. Looking ahead, he said a renewed stretch of consecutive buying by Strategy would be treated as a high-weight signal, though not a direct buy trigger.

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Whale trader says $58,000 marked the cycle low for BTC, points to Strategy as a key signal
Bitcoin
2026-08-25 10:33:03

Whale watcher Jason says renewed Strategy buying could become a key bullish signal

TechFlowPost reported on Aug. 25 that crypto whale watcher Jason, known as 「先定 10 个大目标」, said Strategy’s behavior was one of the main reasons he identified the area around $58,000 in Bitcoin as the bottom of the current cycle last month. In his view, Strategy was not only weighing Bitcoin’s price moves at the time, but also the likely location of the market bottom, how close the company was to a survival threshold, and how much pressure its capital structure could withstand in an extreme downturn. Jason said Strategy’s move to break with expectations that it would only keep buying and never sell — instead adjusting its BTC and dollar reserves while optimizing its capital structure — amounted to exposing risk early on its own terms rather than being forced into action under market stress. He added that Bitcoin later dipped to $58,000 and then held around $60,000 despite negative headlines tied to hardware wallet security, which he saw as a stress test. What he is watching now, he said, is whether Strategy resumes continuous buying. If that happens, he would treat it as a high-conviction bullish signal, though not as an automatic buy trigger.

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Whale watcher Jason says renewed Strategy buying could become a key bullish signal
Ansem
2026-08-19 15:35:03

Ansem says retail activity has turned up sharply, with Q3 potentially marking a crypto market bottom

Crypto KOL Ansem said the market may eventually look back on the third quarter of 2026 as a period when clear signs of a crypto market bottom had already emerged. In his view, retail activity has posted its first notable upward inflection in years, a shift that stands out after a long stretch of weak participation. Even so, he said most market participants are reading that change as a bearish signal rather than a constructive one. Ansem argued that this gap between what the data may be showing and how the broader market is interpreting it could later be seen as an important feature of bottom formation. His comments frame the recent pickup in retail activity not as confirmation of further weakness, but as a possible sign that sentiment and positioning are out of sync with underlying market behavior.

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Ansem says retail activity has turned up sharply, with Q3 potentially marking a crypto market bottom
Bitcoin
2026-08-07 13:29:58

Bitcoin Macro Bottom Likely Formed as Multiple Monthly Indicators Flash Bullish Signals

Analyst Ai said on X that Bitcoin's monthly chart is showing a cluster of bullish signals, and a macro cycle bottom may have formed. The TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on the monthly time frame last month, the same setup that caught the 2022 bear market bottom. Bitcoin's price is also trading near the 50-month simple moving average, a level that historically has acted as major support and lined up with previous cycle bottoms. The Chande Momentum Oscillator has dropped to around -71, a zone that last appeared in June, when Bitcoin briefly fell toward $57,000. Extremely low CMO readings have historically tended to overlap with market bottom zones. Short term, Bitcoin may oscillate between $60,000 and $67,000. But the confluence of the TD Sequential buy signal, long-term moving average support, and oversold momentum suggests the long-term bottom could already be in. Market attention now turns to whether price can break above the range and confirm a fresh uptrend.

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Bitcoin Macro Bottom Likely Formed as Multiple Monthly Indicators Flash Bullish Signals